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The Interwar Years (1919-1938)
Economics During the Inter-War Years (1919-1938)
Summary
During World War I, some 10 million Europeans were
killed, about 7 million were permanently disabled, and 15 million seriously
wounded, mostly young men of working age and middle class backgrounds. This
loss, combined with the destruction of land and property, led to a European
situation of grave pessimism and poverty for many. Living conditions declined
dramatically at the close of the war, the infant mortality rate skyrocketed, and
life was quite difficult for Europeans of the period. The widespread material
destruction totaled billions of dollars of damage in Europe. The war's
prosecution had cost the nations of Europe six and one-half times as much as the
total national debt of the entire world during the years from 1800 to 1914.
The Allies bore the brunt of the debt, and material damages, France especially.
But the Central Powers were punished severely by the war's concluding treaties.
Germany lost 15 percent of its pre-war capacity, all of its foreign investments,
and 90 percent of its mercantile fleet. The Treaty of Versailles
imposed reparations payments which were
generally considered intolerable and impossible. In Austria, agricultural
production fell 53 percent from pre-war levels, and starvation was a persistent
problem. Inflation hit all of Europe in the first years after the war, as pent
up demand was released and production fell off due to a shortage of raw
materials. By 1920, prices in Hungary were 23,000 times what they had been
before the war, and in Russia the multiplier was 4 million. A sharp depression
in 1920 and 1921 corrected prices to some extent.
This depression, however, meant that the debtor countries increasingly found it
impossible to pay their war debts. Germany pleaded with Britain and France for
a moratorium on reparations payments, but France would not agree, and in fact,
sent troops into the Ruhr in 1923, when Germany defaulted on its payments. In
1924, a solution was presented in the form of the Dawes Plan, presented by
the American, Charles Dawes. Under this plan the total sum owed by Germany
would remain the same, but the yearly payments were reduced, and Germany was
granted a loan. The German Chamber of Deputies accepted the plan on August 27,
1924. As a result, the German mark began to stabilize, and Germany was able to
pay on time for a short while.
Meanwhile, the European Allies had their own financial problems. They ended the
war deeply indebted to the United States. The United States demanded payment in
gold and dollars, which the Allies borrowed from creditor nations, creating even
greater debt elsewhere.
From 1925 to 1929, Europe entered a period of relative prosperity and stability.
However, unemployment remained high, and population growth outstripped economic
growth. During this time, world trade increased and speculative investment
increased as the result of better economic times. US creditors, flush with
capital coming in from Europe, led this speculative movement.
Germany continued to struggle with reparations payments, and in 1930, the
Young Plan replaced the Dawes Plan, lowering annual payments yet again,
but
to no avail. In attempts to maintain benefits for the unemployed and drive
prices down, taxes were hiked, and unemployment shot up again. As the Great
Depression that had struck the United States in
1929 began to set in throughout Europe in the early 30s, banks began to
collapse. Despite international loans, Germany, and Europe as a whole, plunged
into depression, during which currencies collapsed and all hope of stability was
dashed. Despite efforts to stabilize world prices and European employment,
Europe remained mired in depression until the outbreak of
World War II.
Commentary
PARAGRPH
Most of the financial costs incurred by that nations fighting in WWI were
covered by deficit spending. As a result, the money supply increased without
any regard to the actual gold and silver reserves of the European nations. Most
nations were forced to abandon the gold standard, causing their currencies to
depreciate rapidly and creating rampant inflation. However, many analysts argue
that strict government policies, implemented at the correct times, could have
kept this inflation in check. Regardless, these measures were not taken,
currencies remained wildly unstable, and world trade could not be resumed. The
widespread borrowing of money to make debt payments only served to worsen the
situation. Reliance on short-term loans at high rates, and the foolish
extension of credit to the struggling powers by speculating creditor nations
only served to drive up national debts even farther, and generally overextend
the nations of Europe financially.
Germany was no exception to this rule. Most of the money paid by Germany to
Britain and France under the Dawes Plan came in the form of borrowed money.
Between 1924 and 1929, Germany borrowed 28 billion marks, and paid some 10
million in reparations. Even without a depression in the early 1930s, this
situation was likely to collapse on the Germans' heads. When the depression did
hit, it was magnified in Germany by this overwhelming dependence on short-term
capital.
While Europe struggled to rebuild during the 1920s, the United States prospered
as the major creditor of the Allied nations. The United States feared the
depreciation and collapse of foreign currencies, so demanded payment in dollars
and gold, a situation which put a great deal of pressure on European treasuries.
However, US financial institutions benefited greatly from this influx of
capital, and sought ways in which to invest it, driving up the US stock market
by speculation, and often sending capital back to Europe in the form of loans.
American financial experts favored massive international loans as a means of
increasing American exports, increasing employment, and strengthening the
already mighty dollar. American enthusiasm for speculation raised the economic
tide both at home and in Europe from 1925 to 1929, but in the end, the situation
proved unsustainable.
This period of outward prosperity belied the problems beneath. There was no
international agreement on currency stabilization, so it was carried out
haphazardly, in a varied, unsynchronized fashion by the nations of Europe.
Currencies responded to speculation during the period of prosperity, rather than
to realistic economic indicators. Additionally, the prosperity achieved during
the late 1920s was distributed unevenly throughout Europe. All of this meant
that the situation was primed for a sharp correction. That correction came in
the early 1930s, plunging Europe into economic hard times once again.
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